Column
AI Exposure Is Highest Where the Desks Are
The article argues that AI’s first automation shock is likely to hit richer economies harder because their labor markets contain more clerical, professional and digital work. Developing economies face lower immediate exposure, but that is not pure protection. It often reflects weaker electricity, connectivity, institutions and managerial capacity, which limit their ability to turn AI adoption into productivity gains.
Using the proposed Google data center hub in Visakhapatnam as a test case, the piece warns that hosting compute is not the same as building technological sovereignty. Data centers can bring infrastructure, jobs and cloud access, but they also consume scarce power, water and public concessions. The article argues developing economies should prioritize adoption and adaptation before frontier imitation, approving large AI infrastructure only when it leaves behind durable capability, local value capture and broad economic benefit.
India’s Frontier Bet Faces a Hard Constraint… Ownership
The article argues that India’s frontier-tech push has moved beyond slogans, but the real test is ownership. Convergence India showcased national programs across 6G, AI, quantum and supercomputing. Yet activity does not equal control over IP, standards, compute access and the commercial upside. India’s talent depth sits alongside low frontier patent capture, weaker private capital and recurring patterns where capability is built locally but rights settle abroad.
It frames 6G as a standards and SEP fight and warns that targets like “10% of 6G patents” only matter if they translate into licensing-relevant assets. The prescription is a more strategic fiscal state with protected multi-year funding, transparent compute allocation and procurement that creates reference buyers. It also calls for pushing funded outputs into global patent families, expanding industrial testbeds and prioritizing nearer-term semiconductor wins in OSAT, ATMP, photonics and design.
Can We “Win” the AI Race Together?
The article argues that the “AI arms race” framing is colliding with the economics of AI. Governments want scale and interoperability, but also sovereignty: control over data, compute, models, standards and talent. Since the full stack is too costly for most states, sovereignty becomes modular risk management, and energy constraints make compute a strategic bottleneck. Cloud regions still sit under jurisdiction, so access can become a bargaining chip.
Collaboration still pays where externalities cross borders: safety science, benchmarking, incident sharing and interoperable standards. This creates layered coexistence: open coordination at the bottom, control at the frontier. The U.S. pairs safety cooperation with export controls, the EU pools capacity via the AI Act and AI Factories, China enforces tight domestic rules and India bets on sovereignty-through-access and open ecosystems. The takeaway: treat access risk, energy and standards as first-order strategy variables.

