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HONEST ECONOMICS Mardoqueo Arteaga HONEST ECONOMICS Mardoqueo Arteaga

Apply More, Hear Less, Feel Worse

The article argues that weak consumer sentiment is increasingly a jobs story. Unemployment is still low, but hiring is down, applications per opening have surged, and many searches produce no callbacks. People update expectations from signals they can feel, so silence in the job hunt erodes confidence even when top-line labor data looks fine.

It describes a feedback loop: more applicants lead to heavier AI filtering and slower recruiter response, which pushes people to apply even more and feel less capable. That dynamic shows up in survey measures of confidence and helps explain why sentiment is slipping among professional, higher-income households. Mardoqueo concludes that policymakers and employers should track and improve feedback metrics such as hiring rates, response rates and time-to-hire, because these shape spending, saving and voting.

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